Project FeederWatch
Annual Report 1993-94
BY DIANE L. TESSAGLIA AND KENNETH V. ROSENBERG
Please cite this Page as:
Tessaglia, D.L. and Rosenberg, K.V. 1998. Project FeederWatch Annual Report
1993-94. Birdscope, Volume 8, Number 4.
A winter of
"seeing red" in the North,
more purple and gold in the South
This report
summarizes the observations of the roughly 8,700 FeederWatchers who collectively donated
over 50,000 hours to counting birds this past season. In this
summary, we'll highlight several bird population trends that have continentwide
significance. We identified these trends from both our data analyses and from the many
comments from Project FeederWatch participants.
This year "red" was a predominant theme in comments from participants throughout
the northern states and provinces. As we predicted in the last Birdscope,
many FeederWatchers will remember 1993-94 as "The Year of the
Redpoll." Common Redpolls and Red-breasted Nuthatches staged their largest
invasion since Project FeederWatch began, along with lesser numbers of Pine Grosbeaks and
Bohemian Waxwings. In the southern and western regions, FeederWatching was less eventful,
although resident bird populations appeared to be stable or increasing. How did your yard
compare with others around North America? Read on and find out.
Seeing
Redpolls-Invasions from the North
Irruptive species-northern birds such as many finches, nuthatches, and waxwings that
sometimes invade to the south-typically elicit the most comments from FeederWatch
participants. In fact, many label their season as "good" or "bad"
depending on the presence or absence of winter invaders at their feeders. Judging solely
from your comments, we might sum up this past winter as "good" in the North and
East and "bad" in the South and West.
One of the great successes of Project FeederWatch, however, is its ability to
track the populations and movements of these irruptive species from year to year and
region to region. To accomplish this, it is just as important to know where the birds are not,
as where they are. Even your lowest counts, therefore, are extremely
valuable.
This winter's "red invasion" was led by the Common Redpoll, a species that
breeds in North America only in the arctic regions of Canada and Alaska. Last year,
only 8 percent of FeederWatchers across the continent reported Common Redpolls at their
feeders. This year that number increased to 28 percent, and FeederWatchers reported seeing
Common Redpolls in nearly every northern state and province. Figure 1
shows areas where redpolls increased their distribution compared with last winter, and
areas where redpolls appeared this year but not at all last year.
The center of the redpoll invasion, where the highest numbers were reported, was in
southern Canada, especially the Maritime Provinces. Over 85 percent of FeederWatchers in
Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, Newfoundland, Prince Edward Island, and southern Quebec
reported Common Redpolls, in flocks of up to 350 birds.
Two other redpoll hot spots were Alberta and Saskatchewan, where 95 percent
of FeederWatchers reported flocks of 12 birds on average. Perhaps more telling was that
Common Redpoll was the most abundant species overall in Alberta,
Saskatchewan, Quebec, and Alaska (where this is not unusual).
Figure1
 |
| Figure 1. Distribution of
Common Redpolls during the winter of 1993-94, compared with the previous winter (1992-93).
Shading indicates changes in the percentage of feeders visited in each state or province. |
Dynamic
Changes in Redpoll Abundance
This picture of overall distribution and abundance, however, fails to illustrate the
dynamic nature of redpoll movements throughout the season, which were carefully
documented by FeederWatchers on a weekly basis. When counting began in mid-
November, the species was already present in western Canada and around the Great Lakes;
small numbers seen east and south of there presaged the large flights to come (Figure 2). By late December, redpolls were moving into new areas of
New England, New York, and the other border states from Michigan to North Dakota. A few
birds reached feeders in Nova Scotia, but numbers remained low in the Maritimes south to
Maine. Until this time, only a few large flocks (more than 100 birds) had been reported,
mostly from Ontario and Quebec (Figure 3).
Late December is the time when Audubon Christmas Bird Counts take a
"snapshot" of winter bird distributions, but the redpolls continued to move. One
of the unique strengths of Project FeederWatch is its ability to track bird movements long
after Christmas-counters have sent in their data. In mid-January, the redpoll invasion
really got exciting as flocks pushed south through Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Maryland,
and east into Maine, New Brunswick, and Nova Scotia. By the beginning of February,
FeederWatchers across Ohio, northern Illinois, and Indiana, as well as Newfoundland, were
enjoying redpolls. Flocks of over 100 birds were counted in New York, Connecticut,
Pennsylvania, northern New England, New Brunswick, and Nova Scotia, and stragglers reached
Virginia, South Carolina, Kentucky, and Missouri.
Numbers continued to build throughout February and March, with the first large
flocks reported in Newfoundland, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, and Minnesota. At the
end of the FeederWatch season in April, redpolls were still common in many areas, but were
showing signs of retreat. Overall, the redpoll invasion was the largest since 1977 and
provided many FeederWatchers with a new bird for their feeder lists. These comments from
FeederWatchers were typical of the many we received:
"Highlights of my fifth year of FeederWatch: Jan. 20, 1994, 2 Common Redpolls came
and ate sunflower seeds-my first-ever sighting of this species here!" said Marilyn
Wavering of Annandale, Virginia. "The Common Redpolls I had at my feeders this season
were the first I've had since the winter of 1983-84," wrote David Wolfe of Ridgeway,
Pennsylvania.
A
side benefit of the Common Redpoll invasion was that many people also were
treated to a glimpse of the much rarer Hoary Redpoll. This species is almost exclusively
Arctic in its distribution and rarely invades areas where bird watchers live. This year we
received reports of hoaries from nearly every region where Common Redpolls occurred-often
in the same flocks. Identification of Hoary Redpolls can be extremely difficult,
however-they look like lighter versions of Common Redpolls, but not all light-colored
redpolls are hoaries. Therefore, some hoaries may have been missed, and some Common
Redpolls misidentified.Figure 2
 |
 |
 |
 |
| Figure 2.
Changes in Common Redpoll distribution throughout the winter of 1993-94. Each dot
represents a zip code or postal code where redpolls were reported. (a) The distribution at
the start of the FeederWatch season; (b) during the week when most Christmas Bird Counts
are conducted; (c) at the height of the redpoll invasion; (d) at the end of the
FeederWatch season. Figure 3. |

|
| Figure 3. Number of sites
reporting large flocks of Common Redpolls (greater than, or equal to 100 birds) each week
of the FeederWatch season, November 13, 1993, to April 8, 1994. |
More
"Seeing Red"-Red-breasted Nuthatch
The second
"red" species in last winter's invasion was the Red-breasted Nuthatch,
which increased in all regions except the West Coast and Southwest (Figure
4). The
areas that saw the largest changes compared with last year were the upper Midwest
and Great Lakes regions south to Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Tennessee. Red-breasted
Nuthatches visited 62 percent of feeders in the North Central region, the highest
percentage of feeders visited by this species in any region since Project FeederWatch
began in 1987-88. This species was also numerous in the Canadian Maritime Provinces and
New England, with a moderate invasion detected south along the Atlantic Coast to Virginia.
Only Quebec saw a noticeable decrease in nuthatches compared with last year;
throughout the West and deep South, populations were essentially unchanged. In all
areas, Red-breasted Nuthatches usually visit feeders singly or in pairs, so the percentage
of feeders visited not only shows distribution of this species, but also overall
abundance. Unlike the slow-building redpoll invasion, the nuthatch invasion came early-in
August or September in some areas. Thereafter, the birds' distribution
changed little throughout the FeederWatch season.
Figure 4

|
| Figure 4. Distribution of
Red-breasted Nuthatches during the winter of 1993-94, compared with the previous winter
(1992-93). Shading indicates changes in the percentage of feeders visited in each state or
province. |
Grosbeaks
and Waxwings Made the News
Nearly overshadowed by the widespread irruptions of redpolls and nuthatches, several other
species made notable movements out of the far North. Pine Grosbeaks made news in some
areas, even though the numbers seen were generally small. Pine
Grosbeaks came to feeders most frequently across southern Canada from Alberta to Quebec,
with the eastern provinces showing the largest increases from previous years. More unusual
were small flocks crossing the border into northeastern states as far south as New Jersey,
Pennsylvania, Indiana, Illinois, and Iowa. This species also occurred at 48 percent of all
Alaskan feeders, but this was actually a decrease of 20 percent from last winter.
Another species that many FeederWatchers noticed was the Bohemian
Waxwing. The largest numbers were reported from western Canada, although the
percentage of feeders visited there was nearly identical to past years. Flocks that
appeared from southeastern Ontario to Nova Scotia were much more unusual, and a few
stragglers were noted as far south as Cape Cod, Pennsylvania, and Illinois (Figure 5). Even though waxwings rarely visit bird feeders, we are
pleased to see how FeederWatchers documented the movements of these interesting birds.
Figure 5

|
| Figure 5. Distribution of
Bohemain Waxwings during the winter or 1993-94, based on Project FeederWatch counts. Each
dot represents a zip code or postal code where waxwings were reported. |
Another
Winter of Purple and Gold in the South
As northern FeederWatchers counted the red invaders, southern feeders didn't lack colorful
visitors. Purple and gold, the colors of Mardi Gras and New Orleans, were also,
appropriately, the colors of the winter finches recorded across the South. In fact, the
distribution patterns shown by Purple Finch and American Goldfinch were remarkably similar
across the entire continent.
American Goldfinch is among the most widespread feeder visitors (see TABLE), and although not usually considered an irruptive species, its
abundance may vary markedly from region to region. This year the center of goldfinch
abundance was in the south-central states; it was the most numerous species at feeders in
Oklahoma, Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi, as well as North Carolina (Figure 6a). This is not necessarily unusual; goldfinch numbers were
higher in Oklahoma and Louisiana, but actually lower in Arkansas and Mississippi, compared
with last winter.
Relatively high goldfinch abundance (more than two birds per feeder on average)
continued northward through the central states to Iowa and South Dakota, and most of this
region saw an increase over last year. In contrast, goldfinch numbers were reduced in much
of the Northeast, from New Brunswick and Maine west to Michigan and Minnesota. In Ontario
and Quebec alone, the percentage of feeders visited dropped by over 30 percent and the
number of birds per feeder crashed to only 15 percent of last winter's counts. Goldfinches
were also less numerous than last year in South Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, and Tennessee.
Overall, this pattern suggests that birds moving out of the Northeast and Great
Lakes regions traveled toward the West and avoided the extreme Southeast. Some
FeederWatchers speculated that the exodus of goldfinches in the North was due in part to
the invading redpolls. Given that these species eat similar foods, both in the wild and at
feeders, this scenario is at least possible. Western populations of American Goldfinch
were more stable overall, with decreases noted in California, Utah, and Wyoming, and
increases reported in British Columbia and Arizona.
The relative abundance of Purple Finches essentially paralleled that of the goldfinch,
with decreases of 50 percent overall in the Northeast and increases in the south-central
and Midwestern states (Figure 6b). The largest reductions in
numbers were seen in eastern Canada south to New England, New York, and Michigan. The
largest increases over last winter's numbers were reported along the Gulf Coast from
Alabama west to Louisiana, and from Oklahoma north to Nebraska. Relatively high Purple
Finch numbers were seen in both winters in many of the remaining Midwestern and southern
states. As with the goldfinch, western populations were relatively stable, with a small
increase seen in British Columbia and a decrease in California.
Figure 6a |
Figure
6b |
| Figure 6. Abundance of
(a) American Goldfinch and (b) Purple Finch during the winter of 1993-94. Shading
indicates the average number of birds per feeder per week. |
| Table |
All feeders, all weeks |
|
Feeders where seen, weeks when seen |
................................
Species.
....................... |
Percentage of feeders visited |
Mean number per feeder per week |
|
Mean number per feeder per when seen |
Mean number of weeks |
| Dark-eyed Junco |
83 |
2.19 |
|
4.28 |
8.00 |
| American
Goldfinch |
69 |
1.61(-18)* |
|
4.99 |
7.50 |
| Blue Jay |
68 |
0.90 |
|
2.25 |
8.00 |
| House Finch |
67 |
2.29 |
|
5.71 |
9.00 |
| Mourning Dove |
64 |
1.47 |
|
3.72 |
9.00 |
| Downy Woodpecker |
64 |
0.44 |
|
1.35 |
8.00 |
| Northern Cardinal |
60 |
1.31(-10) |
|
2.76 |
10.00 |
| House Sparrow |
58 |
1.38 |
|
5.93 |
9.25 |
| Black-capped
Chickadee |
57 |
1.27 |
|
3.08 |
10.00 |
| European Starling
|
52 |
0.44 |
|
3.76 |
4.00 |
| White-breasted
Nuthatch |
47 |
0.27(+13) |
|
1.37 |
7.25 |
| Amercian Robin |
44 |
0.12(+33) |
|
2.02 |
2.00 |
| Tufted Titmouse |
43 |
0.56 |
|
2.06 |
10.00 |
| Common Grackle |
40 |
0.15 |
|
3.88 |
2.00 |
| Pine Siskin |
39 |
0.24(-54) |
|
4.14 |
3.00 |
| Red-bellied
Woodpecker |
39 |
0.18 |
|
1.16 |
7.50 |
| Hairy Woodpecker |
38 |
0.14 |
|
1.21 |
5.75 |
| Red-breasted
Nuthatch |
36(+14)* |
0.14(+75) |
|
1.34 |
6.00 |
| Red-winged
Blackbird |
33 |
0.10(+11) |
|
3.55 |
2.00 |
| Song Sparrow |
33 |
0.10(-17) |
|
1.79 |
3.00 |
| White-throated
Sparrow |
33 |
0.27(+13) |
|
2.35 |
4.75 |
| Purple Finch |
33 |
0.13 |
|
2.52 |
3.00 |
| Northern Flicker |
32 |
0.07 |
|
1.21 |
2.00 |
| American Crow |
30 |
0.09 |
|
2.64 |
3.00 |
| Carolina Wren |
30 |
0.12(-14) |
|
1.21 |
4.00 |
| Brown-headed
Cowbird |
30 |
0.09(+29) |
|
3.13 |
2.00 |
| Common Redpoll |
29(+21) |
0.51(+467) |
|
5.82 |
3.50 |
| Carolina
Chickadee |
27 |
0.33 |
|
2.22 |
10.00 |
*Numbers in parentheses indicate percentage change from last year,
if greater than or equal to 10 percent. |
The Most
Widespread Species Are Also the Most Stable
With just a few exceptions, this year's list of the most widespread feeder birds is nearly
identical to last year's (see the table above). This year, 28 species were seen by at
least 25 percent of FeederWatch participants across North America. All of the species
reported last year made the list, and the two invading species-Common Redpoll and
Red-breasted Nuthatch-were added. Among these common species, only minor changes were
reported in either the percentage of feeders visited or the mean number of birds per
feeder; eight species occurred at exactly the same percentage of feeders this year as
last. Not surprisingly, Dark-eyed Junco retained its claim as Most Widespread Feeder Bird
throughout the continental United States and Canada, occurring at 83 percent of all
feeders. Readers may be surprised to learn that the largest number of juncos were counted
at feeders in New Mexico, followed by Oregon, Washington, Iowa, and West Virginia.
Among the
species not already discussed, the House Finch is perhaps the most
significant. When Project FeederWatch began only seven years ago, House Finch
occurred at 48 percent of all feeders and was ranked ninth among widespread species.
Having edged past the House Sparrow in 1992 with a fourth-place ranking and 61 percent of
feeders visited last winter, the House Finch continues to expand its range steadily in the
East as House Sparrows slowly decline. The expansion of this introduced eastern House
Finch population was one topic of a poster that Project FeederWatch staff presented at the
joint meeting of the Ornithological Societies of North America in Missoula, Montana, this
past June (see item, below).
Two species
that declined this past winter are also worth mentioning. Pine Siskins have often been the
focus of past FeederWatch reports because of their highly erratic movements. Indeed, one
of the fun aspects of participating in Project FeederWatch has been seeing where the
siskins go each year. This year, they were
virtually nonexistent in many regions, especially on the West Coast, where they were
particularly abundant last year. Was this part of a normal fluctuation in numbers, or did
the Salmonella epidemic cause massive mortality in West Coast populations? Only
continued counts in future winters will answer that question.
Pine Siskins
did stage a widespread invasion into the Southeast region, where numbers tripled overall
compared with last winter. The largest increases were in North Carolina, Alabama, and
Mississippi, although numbers in these areas were still lower than during previous
invasions farther north. Siskin numbers remained relatively high in the Rocky Mountain
states, and a second mini-invasion took place east of the mountains in North Dakota, South
Dakota, and Nebraska.
Interestingly,
the general lack of siskins was not reflected in the overall percentage of feeders
visited, which has remained remarkably stable over the years (see the table).
Even in regions where siskins do not spend the winter, highly mobile individuals may
visit particular feeders on occasion, especially during return flights in spring.
The cumulative number of feeders visited, therefore, may give an exaggerated picture of
siskin distribution in a given season.
Another
species showing a decline in 1993-94 was the Carolina Wren, which
elicited many concerned comments from FeederWatchers in the Northeast. The
northern states and provinces are clearly on the fringe of the Carolina Wren's range,
but this nonmigratory southern species has been gradually expanding its range
northward. Because it is nonmigratory, however, this species may suffer high mortality
during severe northern winters. Such an event was well documented in 1976-77, with
northern populations crashing and then recovering completely in subsequent years.
Did the bitter
cold and frequent snowstorms this past winter take a similar toll on
wrens in the Northeast? We examined the weekly FeederWatch counts and noted that, in the
Northeast Region, Carolina Wrens visited fewer and fewer feeders as the season progressed,
although they didn't follow this pattern in the Southeast region (Figure
7). The Northeast decline came after a sharp peak in visitation during the week of
January 8-14. This period corresponded with a severe storm that dropped at least three
feet of snow over most of the Northeast and glazed much of the Southeast with ice.
Figure 7

|
| Percentage of feeders visited by Carolina
Wrens in the Norhteast and Southeast regions, throughout the winter of 1993-94. The
logarithmic scale is used on the y axis because it best illustrates the proportional
changes throughout the season. |
Carolina Wrens eat mostly insects year-round, and presumably only visit feeders
when natural foods are scarce. A large increase in numbers at feeders may signal
trouble for wren populations-for example, a similar peak in wren visits to feeders
occurred in the Northeast during the March 1993 blizzard. Although some FeederWatchers
specifically stated that "their" wrens had died this year, we must await future
surveys during the breeding season to indicate how Carolina Wren populations fared.
Finally, we note
that the majority of the remaining widespread species have been
quite stable since Project FeederWatch began. This includes many of the resident
chickadees, titmice, nuthatches, woodpeckers, and jays, as well as doves, starlings,
and some sparrows. The stability of the resident birds may be less exciting than the
massive irruptions noted above, but seeing such stability is heartening, for two reasons.
First, when
species that "should" remain stable actually do remain stable, then
we have greater confidence in FeederWatch's ability to detect changes that do occur. Also,
as the population of FeederWatchers changes each year, the consistent numbers reported for
resident species indicate that our sampling of winter bird populations is indeed adequate.
This was a major theme of our presentation to the joint Ornithological Societies of North
America meeting in June (see "Project FeederWatch
Flies High in Montana," below). It is heartening also to report that in contrast
to many populations of neotropical migrants and wetland and grassland birds, populations
of most species that visit feeders in winter are either stable or increasing.
This past June, Project FeederWatch programmer/analyst Diane Tessaglia
traveled to Missoula, Montana along with Bird Population Studies (BPS) chief scientist Ken
Rosenberg and BPS biologist Jim Lowe, to present results from Project FeederWatch at the
first-ever joint meeting of the Ornithological Societies of North America. Their poster,
viewed by more than 1,000 professional ornithologists, highlighted the success of Project
feederWatch in tracking bird population trends over the past seven winters.
The objective was to illustrate four types of population trendsstable, expanding,
cyclic, and irruptiveusing FeederWatch data. Highlights of our analyses include the
following findings:
- Populations of many resident species, such as doves and chickadees, have remained
remarkably stable from year to year.
- In the East, populations of House Finch (introduced there in 1940) continue to expand
steadily, while native western populations remain stable.
- Several southeastern species, such as Carolina Wren and Red-bellied Woodpecker, continue
to expand their ranges slowly northward.
- Irruptive species show a variety of patterns. Common Redpolls typically invade northern
regions every second yearthe 1993-94 invasion was the largest since Project
FeederWatch began (see figure below). Irruptions of Pine Siskins and Red-breasted
Nuthatches are more unpredictable and loosely correlated across regions.
- Varied Thrush exhibits a two-year cycle of invasion on the West Coast.
We are happy to report that Project FeederWatch data performed admirably in these
analyses, and we are looking forward to more detailed investigations as we mine the wealth
of information that you, the FeederWatch participants, continue to provide.
|

|
| Relative abundance of
Common Redpolls over six winters of Project FeederWatch (1989-94), based on the percentage
of backyard feeder sites visited. Note the two-year cycle of invasion in each northern
region. The logarithmic scale is used on the y axis because it best illustrates the
proportional changes from year to year. |
|
Return |