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 Understanding Minimum-area Requirements

Calculating minimum-area requirements for each region required two steps. In the first step, we used results from Project Tanager to determine the probability of finding breeding tanagers in suitable, unfragmented habitats in each of the four regions. In the second step, we used logistic regression analysis to predict the chances of finding breeding tanagers across a complete range of forest-patch sizes in landscapes with different percentages of forest cover.

We then calculated the minimum-sized forest patch required to achieve the same probability of supporting tanagers as a suitable, unfragmented forest. Patches greater than or equal to this minimum area are defined as having High Suitability for tanagers in the minimum-area tables. We defined Moderate Suitability patches as those that have a 25% lower probability of supporting tanagers, relative to unfragmented forest, and determined the minimum area required to achieve that lowered probability. Similarly, we calculated the minimum area of Low Suitability patches, which are 50% less likely to support tanagers relative to unfragmented forest. Because minimum areas are dependent on the amount of forest in the surrounding 2,500-acre (1,000-ha) landscape, a range of minimum areas is presented for each level of suitability. Note that a reduction in habitat suitability is defined here only in terms of the effect of forest fragmentation and otherwise assumes that forest type and structure are favorable for breeding tanagers.