The Value of Monitoring Demographic Parameters and Associated Habitat: The BBIRD Program

Courtney J. Conway1 and Thomas E. Martin1

ABSTRACT— To simultaneously conserve all species of non-game birds in North America, we need a long-term plan that includes an effective national monitoring program. Effective monitoring programs should provide (1) early warning signals about potential or developing population declines, (2) information on habitat requirements for population maintenance, and (3) information on the potential causes of observed population declines. A program that monitors demographic parameters can potentially meet these 3 criteria. The BBIRD program was established in 1992 as a national avian monitoring program that replicates intensive local studies of avian nesting productivity at sites across North America. After only 4 years, the program has been extremely successful. BBIRD participants have collected data on more than 25,000 nests from 76 BBIRD sites in 28 states, including data on >20 nests for 102 species. Products resulting from BBIRD nesting productivity studies include 24 papers in peer-reviewed journals, 10 technical reports, 5 book chapters, and 11 completed graduate theses/dissertations. The BBIRD program has both a national and local component and serves both a monitoring and research role, and should be instrumental in aiding avian conservation efforts in North America.

INTRODUCTION

One of the ultimate goals of conservation efforts is to maintain regional species diversity by preventing local species extinctions. Preventing local extinctions requires preservation of local habitat features that maintain stable or increasing populations of all indigenous species. This task is challenging in the face of increasing anthropogenic changes to the environment and limited information on the effects of environmental perturbations on populations. Limited financial resources and personnel prevent intensive monitoring of all populations. Consequently, biologists and managers have tried to maintain regional biodiversity by focusing limited resources on conserving species, populations, or habitats at highest risk of declining. This approach is reasonable, but relies on timely identification of populations or habitats at risk. Broad-scale monitoring programs provide one means of identifying populations at high risk of future decline. To be most effective, programs should monitor population parameters that are sensitive to environmental disturbance and that can provide early warning signals indicative of future population decline. Early detection is important because reversing declining population trends can take decades (Green and Hirons 1991).

Monitoring programs also should identify the habitat features associated with healthy populations. Identifying critical requirements for maintenance of each species is necessary to provide managers with specific targets for recovery. This type of detailed data is currently not available for many species of North American birds, but is urgently needed because many populations of migratory birds are declining (Robbins et al. 1989, Askins et al. 1990). Population declines are frequently blamed on anthropogenic changes to the environment (e.g., forest fragmentation; Terborgh 1989) that are becoming increasingly common. Ultimately we must preserve the critical habitat requirements of all species, so that in the future we can prevent population declines despite changing land-use patterns. Knowledge of critical habitat features will allow managers to develop local, regional, and national conservation plans with specific recommendations for maintaining healthy populations of coexisting species.

Traditional avian monitoring programs, such as the Breeding Bird Survey (BBS), have focused on estimating trends in species abundance. The BBS has been effective in identifying particular species and specific habitats that have undergone drastic long-term declines (Robbins et al. 1989; but see Bart et al. 1995, Thomas and Martin 1996). However, trends in species abundance do not provide information on the potential cause of population declines. To be most effective in conserving species we need to know not only which populations are declining, we also need to know why they are declining so that we can implement appropriate recovery efforts. Indeed, delays in species recovery typically are the result of misidentification of the cause of the decline (Green and Hirons 1991). In summary, an effective national monitoring program would be one that: (1) provides early warning signals about potential or developing population declines, (2) provides information on critical habitat requirements for population maintenance, and (3) provides information on the potential causes of observed population declines. Traditional avian monitoring programs that monitor trends in species abundance do not meet all of these needs (Nichols, this volume), and a more effective monitoring program is needed. A national program that includes monitoring of demographic parameters can potentially meet all 3 criteria.

Detecting Problems Early

Monitoring demographic parameters allows early detection of population problems. Local population size is affected by local demographic parameters, emigration, and immigration. Because immigration rates can vary spatially, monitoring trends in population size alone can not differentiate healthy and unhealthy populations (in a healthy population, local recruitment equals or exceeds annual mortality). Environmental perturbations may negatively affect reproduction or survival, but local population size might still be maintained by immigration from other populations, with the result that local environmental problems may not be reflected in population trends until problems become severe. Alternatively, identifying populations in which local demographic parameters are insufficient to maintain local population size would allow us to identify populations at risk of decline before drastic declines occur.

Identifying critical habitat requirements

Monitoring demographic parameters also provides the opportunity to measure specific habitat features that influence population health. Habitat features that correlate with local demographic parameters are more appropriate targets for management than those that correlate with abundance (Martin 1992), because immigration contributes to local abundance but is influenced by non-local processes. Identifying and managing for habitat features that influence demographic parameters is the best approach for maintaining healthy populations of species.

Identifying causes of declines

Finally, monitoring demographic parameters provides information on the causes of population declines. For example, Peregrine Falcon populations were declining in the 1950s due to unknown causes (Hickey 1969). Monitoring reproductive success revealed abnormally low hatching success. Research on the causes of low hatching success ultimately led to the discovery that chemicals in the environment were causing females to produce abnormally thin egg shells (Peakall et al. 1975, Peakall 1976). Monitoring population size alone never would have revealed the ultimate cause of Peregrine Falcon population declines. Only through monitoring reproductive success was the cause determined; knowledge that was necessary for effective recovery.

Monitoring demographic parameters meets our 3 criteria for an effective national monitoring program, but which demographic parameters should we monitor? Nesting success and productivity are particularly appropriate because they are relatively easy to estimate (compared to annual survival), provide sensitive barometers of population health, help identify causes of population declines, and allow measurement of specific habitat features associated with local population health. Moreover, variation in reproductive success greatly influences population trends (Temple and Cary 1988, Martin 1993b).

Monitoring avian nesting productivity as a tool to identify and remedy population problems requires a broad geographic scope. This is best accomplished through collaborative partnerships among independent scientists using similar methods. However, bringing scientists across the country together to focus on studies of avian nesting productivity using standardized methods requires an organized effort. The Breeding Biology Research and Monitoring Database (BBIRD) Program was initiated in 1992 to meet this need. BBIRD uses standardized sampling protocols to gather data on nesting success, breeding productivity, and habitat requirements of coexisting non-game birds. BBIRD provides managers with information on habitat requirements and estimates of nesting success and productivity at local, regional, and national scales. BBIRD is a cooperative project with sites across the continent; core sites are located in large forest blocks to minimize the influence of habitat degradation and to provide baseline data on life-history traits within healthy ecosystems. This paper gives a general overview of the BBIRD program, including history, program objectives, methodology, and results produced, and highlights the unique contribution that the program can make toward developing a national conservation plan for non-game birds.

HISTORY

BBIRD is organized through the Division of Cooperative Research of the Biological Resources Division of the United States Geological Service, but depends on partnerships with other agencies. Each site is administered by an independent principal investigator to maintain high data quality and facilitate rapid identification, publication, and dissemination of important results from local sites. Data from all sites are merged and maintained in a central repository at the Montana Cooperative Wildlife Research Unit to allow overview analyses of trends and patterns across sites, and to allow individual investigators to query the database to compare their results with other sites.

The BBIRD program was initiated in 1992 with funding from the National Biological Service’s Global Change Program for a 4-year feasibility study. Initial funding was for 8 BBIRD sites, and the objectives of the feasibility study were:

  • develop standardized national sampling protocols for monitoring demographic and associated habitat parameters of non-game birds.
  • determine the feasibility of coordinating a national program for monitoring avian breeding productivity.
  • determine whether sufficient scientific interest and partnerships could be generated to provide additional and continued funding for program expansion.
  • estimate variance in reproductive parameters to determine sample sizes needed to make comparisons across habitats, management treatments, or environmental gradients.
  • develop a national database and computing center to house data and disseminate results.

After 4 years, the BBIRD program has been extremely successful, and has gone beyond the objectives of the feasibility study. We have worked closely with program participants to establish nationally recognized sampling protocols and guidelines (Martin and Geupel 1993, Martin et al. 1997). The BBIRD Field Protocols (Martin et al. 1997) is a 64-page illustrated document with detailed procedures for plot selection, marking plots, finding and monitoring nests, conducting point counts, measuring vegetation, calculating nesting success, and submitting data. BBIRD Field Protocols help others design and implement large-scale manipulative and mensurative experiments to investigate how breeding birds are affected by different treatments. The Field Protocols are requested by approximately 200 managers and researchers annually, and provide a benchmark for approaches to nesting productivity studies. Field Protocols are now available on the BBIRD home page (http://pica.wru.umt.edu/bbird), and users are able to download several word processor-compatible versions.

We have demonstrated the feasibility of a national program for monitoring nesting productivity through rapid growth, participation, and research products. Participants have collected data on more than 25,000 nests from 76 BBIRD sites in 28 states, including data on >20 nests for 102 species (Table 1). Substantial data for many species already are available from multiple BBIRD sites, which allows comparisons of nesting productivity across sites (Table 1). Most data are from BBIRD sites in eastern hardwood forests; more sites are needed to expand coverage and scope of inference. More than 100 partners have provided funding for one or more BBIRD sites, including federal, state, and local government agencies, universities, non-governmental conservation organizations, industry, and private foundations. Funding exceeds 2 million dollars annually for all sites combined. An annual meeting is well-attended, and offers a unique forum for collaboration and data-sharing. One-half day is devoted to presentation of research results by participants, and 1.5 days are devoted to discussing sampling and analytical issues and suggesting new directions. Annual minutes of the meeting are distributed to all BBIRD participants.


Table 1. Number of nests currently in the BBIRD database for species in which >20 nests were found at > 1 BBIRD site, 1992-1996.

Species   Total # nests   # sites with > 20 nests
Broad-winged Hawk  21  1
Wild Turkey  25  0
Mourning Dove  140  1
Yellow-billed Cuckoo  114  3
Whip-poor-will  28  0
Ruby-throated Hummingbird  32  0
Northern Flicker  476  3
Yellow-bellied Sapsucker  208  1
Williamson's Sapsucker  252  1
Red-naped Sapsucker  284  4
Red-bellied Woodpecker  32  0
Downy Woodpecker  100  1
Hairy Woodpecker  137  1
Acorn Woodpecker  45  1
Eastern Wood-pewee  51  1
Western Wood-pewee  274  4
Eastern Phoebe  99  1
Eastern Kingbird  33  1
Least Flycatcher  496  3
Acadian Flycatcher 2637  24
Dusky Flycatcher  168  2
Cordilleran Flycatcher  372  1
Willow Flycatcher  40  1
Violet-green Swallow  54  1
Scrub Jay  49  1
Blue Jay  35  0
Stellar’s Jay  22  1
Black-billed Magpie  29  1
American Crow  22  0
Carolina Chickadee  43  1
Black-capped Chickadee  146  1
Mountain Chickadee  435  4
Chestnut-backed Chickadee  33  1
Plain Titmouse  41  1
Tufted Titmouse  22  0
Wrentit  82  1
Bushtit  112  1
White-breasted Nuthatch  131  1
Red-breasted Nuthatch  464  4
Pygmy Nuthatch  346  1
Brown Creeper  202  3
House Wren  799  3
Carolina Wren  36  1
Winter Wren  109  1
Ruby-crowned Kinglet  30  1
Blue-gray Gnatcatcher  176  2
Eastern Bluebird  61  1
Western Bluebird  101  2
Wood Thrush  1734  19
Veery   192  3
Swainson's Thrush  53  1
Hermit Thrush  543  3
Bicknell’s Thrush  21  0
American Robin  1019  5
Gray Catbird  91  1
Cedar Waxwing  136  2
European Starling  38  1
White-eyed Vireo  87  1
Solitary Vireo  254  4
Red-eyed Vireo  1092  10
Warbling Vireo  455  3
Prothonotary Warbler  23  0
Orange-crowned Warbler  438  1
Virginia's Warbler  239  1
Black-thr. Blue Warbler  84  1
Black-thr. Green Warbler  44  1
Blackpoll Warbler  63  1
MacGillivray’s Warbler  113  2
Yellow-rumped Warbler  230  2
Black-and-white Warbler  129  2
Yellow Warbler  1120  2
Kentucky Warbler  158  4
Hooded Warbler  635  10
Worm-eating Warbler  392  6
Pine Warbler  79  1
Prairie Warbler  112  1
Louisiana Waterthrush  33  0
Ovenbird  966  11
Common Yellowthroat  59  1
American Redstart  203  3
Red-faced Warbler  260  1
Yellow-breasted Chat  224  2
Scarlet Tanager  168  2
Western Tanager  235  2
Summer Tanager  39  1
Northern Cardinal  448  3
Rose-breasted Grosbeak  97  1
Black-headed Grosbeak  194  3
Indigo Bunting  520  4
Green-tailed Towhee  340  2
Spotted Towhee  94  1
Eastern Towhee  30  1
Song Sparrow  279  3
Chipping Sparrow  127  2
White-crowned Sparrow  41  1
Lincoln's Sparrow  20  1
Fox Sparrow  39  1
Field Sparrow  88  1
Dark-eyed Junco  639  5
Red-winged Blackbird  44  1
Bullock’s Oriole  62  1
American Goldfinch  23  1

BBIRD studies have been very productive in both research and education. In only 5 years, products resulting from BBIRD nesting productivity studies include 23 papers in peer-reviewed journals, 5 book chapters, 11 technical reports/monographs, and 11 completed graduate theses/dissertations (see BBIRD home page). These published results of data from individual BBIRD studies demonstrate that sample sizes are sufficient to gain valuable research results at each site and to make valuable comparisons among habitats, management treatments, and environmental gradients (e.g. Martin 1993a, Donovan et al. 1995, Robinson et al. 1995, Hejl and Paige 1995, Petit and Petit 1995).

All monitoring programs should address potential biases of the techniques used. We have begun to address one potential bias of estimating nesting productivity from our nest monitoring program. Within a species, individuals may vary in the caution with which they approach their nest. If nests of less-cautious individuals are more likely to be found by both nest searchers and predators, we might underestimate true nesting productivity. By recording a behavioral index based on the caution with which each individual approaches its nest, and comparing nesting success and habitat features between cautious and less-cautious individuals, we will be able to evaluate the magnitude of this potential bias.

We have established a national database and computing center at the University of Montana. The computing center includes a work station and networking software, and the data are stored in a relational database. A full-time program manager works with participants to submit their data in proper format, merges incoming data files, and handles data requests.

PROGRAM OBJECTIVES

After successfully meeting the goals of the 4-year feasibility study, we revised the program objectives based on initial results and national conservation needs. Current BBIRD objectives are:

  • Provide baseline data on nesting productivity of species in minimally disturbed environments
  • Develop models of habitat needs for healthy populations of coexisting species
  • Use models to assess suitability of habitat conditions for sustaining bird diversity under varying land management and disturbance regimes
  • Examine distributional and demographic responses to temporal and spatial climate changes to project long-term responses to global climate change
  • Identify species’ breeding habitat requirements
  • Use habitat information to recommend specific management solutions to maximize probability of reversing declining population trends prior to species listing under the Endangered Species Act

BBIRD METHODOLOGY

BBIRD replicates intensive local studies of avian nesting productivity at sites across North America. Nests of all or focal bird species are located and monitored to provide productivity data on coexisting species. BBIRD sites are either funded or volunteer sites. Funded sites follow BBIRD protocols (Martin et al. 1997) completely. Volunteer participants use BBIRD protocols to the greatest extent possible. The minimum requirement for participation in the program by volunteers is data on nesting productivity and sources of nesting mortality. However, measurement of vegetation associated with nest sites also is a critical element and is strongly encouraged. Point counts are included whenever possible to provide estimates of local trends in species abundance.

Plot location and establishment

Each BBIRD site includes replicate plots, the size and number of which vary depending on local objectives and productivity of the habitat. A sufficient number of nest plots should be established so that field personnel find at least 20 nests per year, in a single treatment/habitat type, of each of the most common local species. In eastern hardwood forest this is typically about eight 35-50 ha plots, while in productive western riparian sites, eight 10-20 ha sites might be sufficient. These are only guidelines. The success with which BBIRD participants find nests varies, because: species vary in nesting density and the ease with which their nests are located; field workers vary in nest-finding ability; and habitats vary in accessibility and species diversity (Hejl and Holmes, this volume). Densely-vegetated habitats with low nesting densities may require greater numbers of plots or additional nest-searchers. Investigators initiating new BBIRD sites need to ensure that they have enough plots and trained personnel to find suitable numbers of nests to address their local study objectives.

Nest location and monitoring

Nest searching and monitoring protocols follow methods outlined in Martin and Geupel (1993) and Martin et al. (1997). Plots are searched for nests every 2 days, and individual nests checked every 3-4 days. Each BBIRD site typically has 4-10 volunteers, technicians, and graduate students working in the field each summer. Each full-time technician can effectively monitor 2 nest plots, visiting each plot every other day. Some cooperators choose to focus their effort on a few common "focal" species when locating and monitoring nests (Hejl and Holmes, this volume). Focusing on focal species allows a cooperator to address a specific question of local interest using a few representative species for which almost all active nests within the study plots can be located and monitored intensively.

Vegetation measures at nests and non-use sites

Vegetation sampling methods are currently established for forest and grassland habitats. Forest vegetation sampling is similar to methods described by Martin and Roper (1988) and Martin (1993b) with some modifications (Martin et al. 1997). Habitat features are measured within 5- and 11.3-m radius circular vegetation plots centered on each nest and a non-use site adjacent to each nest. Vegetation is measured at non-use sites to determine which patch (5 and 11.3-m scale) characteristics influence nest site selection [BBIRD participants decided to discontinue measuring vegetation at non-use sites at the 1996 annual cooperators’ meeting]. Shrub and sapling stems are counted by species, and ground cover and litter depth are estimated in the 5-m radius plot. Trees are counted by species, and canopy cover and height are estimated in the 11.3-m radius plot. The number of stems of each tree species is counted for various size classes.

Territory maps of nest plots

Some BBIRD participants create territory maps for each species. Nest searchers visit nest plots every other day throughout the breeding season and hence can effectively make territory maps of each plot. Territory maps provide measures of species abundance, and allow participants to estimate proportion of territories for which nests were found for each species. These data also can be used to estimate pairing success of territorial males.

Point count surveys of nest plots

Point count surveys are conducted to index spatial and temporal differences in population size. We use 10 minute, 50-m fixed-radius point counts. All birds detected beyond 50 m are also recorded to provide total number detected for each species. BBIRD sites typically include 8-12 point count plots within each nest-search plot. Each point is separated by 200 m and point counts are surveyed 3 times per season.

Vegetation at point count survey plots

Vegetation is measured at 4 subplots within each 50-m radius point count plot. Each subplot consists of a 5- and 11.3-m radius circle identical to vegetation circles on nest plots.

RESULTS

With this standardized methodology and program design, BBIRD data can provide answers to a variety of important questions that are essential for designing effective conservation efforts. The sampling design of the program allows us to make both between- and within-site comparisons. Consequently, results from the BBIRD program can provide important information for managers at local, regional, and national levels (Johnson, this volume; Nichols, this volume). Because of the standardized methodology, comparisons across multiple BBIRD sites allow examination of broad landscape-scale conservation questions that previously were impossible to address with scientists working independently at single sites using different methodologies. For example, examining the effect of forest fragmentation on bird populations requires a large number of replicate plots in both fragmented and non-fragmented landscapes distributed across a large geographic region. By incorporating data across sites using similar methods into a meta-analysis (Gurevitch and Hedges 1993, Johnson, this volume), BBIRD cooperators can begin to address these large-scale questions. Indeed, comparison across sites has provided the best test of the effects of forest fragmentation on avian nesting productivity (Robinson et al. 1995). Replication of studies in space and time is considered far more important than replication within a study for examining the effect of a management treatment (Hawkins 1986; Johnson, this volume). Robinson et al.’s (1995) analysis is a good example of the important questions that can be addressed by regional comparisons among a large number of replicate sites.

At a regional scale, BBIRD data can be used to identify potential "source" and "sink" populations (Pulliam 1988) by comparing estimates of nesting success and productivity among sites. Areas or habitats with comparatively high nesting productivity can be targeted for preservation efforts, while areas or habitats with low nesting productivity can be targeted for more active conservation and management efforts to increase regional population health. Identifying and preserving healthy populations and employing proactive management strategies in areas with unhealthy populations are essential steps for making efficient use of limited resources in developing and implementing effective regional conservation plans.

In addition to providing national and regional results, the BBIRD program also has a within-site component. Most monitoring programs (e.g., BBS, MAPS) require pooling data across a wide diversity of sites to provide statistical inference. BBIRD is unique in that individual sites also can provide strong statistical inference to evaluate effects of local management actions. Consequently, the program can address national and local goals simultaneously. Within many sites, investigators can make statistically valid comparisons of differences in demographic parameters across years, species, environmental gradients, habitats, management practices, or treatments (e.g., Cooper et al., this volume). Indeed, local experiments to investigate functional relationships between population parameters and environmental variables are essential for effective management, and this approach is far superior to correlative retrospective analyses (Nichols, this volume). These local studies will help us understand the environmental factors influencing variation in breeding success and population health across a species range. Local objectives of individual BBIRD sites include:

  • Examining the effects of forest fragmentation on population health by measuring variation in nesting success. Investigators are examining the effect of distance to clearcut edge and the amount of forest cover in the surrounding landscape on the probability of nest predation and parasitism.
  • Examining the effects of silvicultural treatments on abundance and nesting productivity of forest bird communities.
  • Examining the effects of climate on nesting productivity. Comparisons across years within several sites have demonstrated that clutch size, nesting success, and probability of renesting can vary with climate.
  • Examining habitat suitability and population dynamics of selected focal species of local management or conservation concern.
  • Examining the habitat factors influencing the probability of nest parasitism by brown-headed cowbirds.

These are just a few examples of the local objectives being addressed by BBIRD studies. This local component to the BBIRD program produces research results that help local and regional managers make decisions that might help mitigate the effects of local land-use practices on avian populations. Thus, partners contributing to a BBIRD site are not only contributing to a national monitoring program, but can also obtain information needed to improve local management efforts.

In summary, the BBIRD program has both a national and local component, and serves both a monitoring and research role in developing short- and long-term management plans. Consequently, the BBIRD program is designed to serve a vital role in aiding avian conservation in North America. As the BBIRD program continues to grow, the wealth of data at both local and national scales undoubtedly will enhance our ability to effectively manage and conserve avian populations in North America.

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1Montana Cooperative Wildlife Research Unit
   University of Montana
   Missoula,MT 59812